The goal of newTRENDs is to recognize and model measure the influence of new social trends on energy needs demand, and hence to develop scenarios of their future development. The digitization of the economy and private life (including new and smarter ways for private households to consume, produce and manage their own energy), investments in autonomous electric cars and other transport reforms, the circular economy, creation of a low-carbon industry, and the sharing economy particular in transport and the tertiary sector – these five trends are expected to have a significant will have the greatest impact on increasing or reducing energy demand in the European Union in the coming years.
New social trends may affect not only the amount of energy consumed, but also its preferred form by consumers, or the time period of the greatest burden on the energy grid. The larger the sections of society that succumb to these changes, the greater the evolution will take place throughout the energy system.
Researchers will use the qualitative (foresight) methods with quantitative cross-sectoral modelling. This combination is not widely applied so far and a great strength of the newTRENDs project. However, the quantitative models that will be enhanced in this project these are tools that are quite frequently often u used for the long-term forecasting of the by the EU for long-term forecasting. To make the analysis as accurate as possible, researchers will also use modern sources of data on social trends and energy consumption.